It looks like Gabby, Harry and Ann may pay a price for walking Pelosi's Plank.

I thought it was interesting that all three of Arizona's vulnerable Democratic Congressmen voted in favor of the Nationalized Health Care Plan.  Speaker Pelosi has been protecting them, but it looks like she needed every vote. 

The folks at the Benjamin Rush League--lead by Dr. Eric Novack--must sense some vulnerability because they are running ads against all three.

Here's the Gabby version.  You can simply subsitute the names to get the Harry and Ann version.

Gabby 60

Update:  One of the commenters has taken offense at my description of Gabby, Harry and Ann as "Vulnerable."  As if you need any outside confirmation to this obvious fact, I'll offer this article from this morning's issue of non partisan National Journal.

VP Biden hits the campaign trail for four more vulnerable House Democrats today, continuing his role as the administration's political point man.

In Phoenix, Biden will host a fundraiser for Reps. Harry Mitchell (D) and Ann Kirkpatrick (D). Later, he will attend events for Reps. Harry Teague (D) and Martin Heinrich (D) in Albuquerque. The events come a day after Biden raised money for Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV) in Las Vegas. All five could face strong challenges in 2010.
 

Comments

[Thane Eichenauer]

That's a nice ad. I wonder if the Charles Brook League will produce a counter-ad to run against Flake, Shadegg and Franks.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialist_Health_Association#Dr._Charles_Brook

[Bummer]

Medicaid doesn't pay enough, rich people don't like unnecessary surgery, sorry Eric, caught in the middle.

[Bummer]

Medicaid doesn't pay enough, rich people don't like unnecessary surgery, sorry Eric, caught in the middle.

[todd]

The fact that Novak is running ads against them hardly means they are vulnerable.

[Pelosi Death Panel Fan]

It amuses me to no end to see these three described as "vulnerable." Last fall this blog predicted a perfect storm in which Tim Bee, David Schweikert, and Sydney Hay would win these seats. All of them lost by double digits. It's sad, isn't it? The catastrophic collapse of the Republican party in Arizona cost the Republicans the three votes they needed to stop Nancy Pelosi's Nazi takeover of our healthcare system, put the Obama death panels out of business, and spare your grandmother from euthanasia.

I do wonder, though, what would have happened if John McCain had not been on top of the ticket. What would have happened if the Obama campaign had showed up in Arizona in full force and whipped up voter turnout here with the same success they had in whipping up voter turnout everywhere else they tried. Hay, Bee, and Schweikert losing by 20 percentage points? 25, 30 points? Would we still call these three seats "vulnerable?" In some alternative reality perhaps. Not in the real world.

[Johnny]

As long as Schweikert is candidate in CD-5 Mitchell has nothing to worry about, and the pathetic bunch of candidates down there in CD-8 as it is right now have no chance...

So keep dreaming on this one.

[AZ CoJones]

All Federal incumbents had better be prepared to look for Honest employment after November 2010. It is time to clean house and remove all these so called governmental leaders who continue to show their true dereliction of duty to represent their constituents. My House Representative Harry Mitchell has such a clear head.

[Rick Banter]

2010 is going to be like 1994. If you're a Democrat in a swing district, or like in Harry Mitchell's case, an overwhelmingly Republican district, you're DOA.

Believe me, they're scared.

[Pelosi Death Panel Fan]

2010 will be just like 1994. Except that it won't. Two weeks ago the Republican party lost a district in upstate New York. A district that had been held by the GOP for over a century. An overwhelmingly white, rural district. One of those pockets of what Sarah Palin likes to call the real America. You know, the pockets where there aren't any blacks or Hispanics. The REAL America.

If you can't win there, you can't win anywhere. It was the first battle of the impending Armageddon of the Republican party. A Stalinist purge to get rid of a too moderate candidate. A total takeover by wingnuts. A should have been slam dunk district now in the hands of the Nazi Socialist Death Panel Party. The descent of the GOP into political oblivion.

Reality calling, Rick. Can't win with white folks in upstate New York. Can't win anywhere.

[Rick Banter]

Go ahead and hang your hat on NY-23.

The Republican dropped out of the race and endorsed the Democrat. The 3rd party candidate came within a percentage point of winning. In fact, they're still counting the votes because the race is so close, Hoffman may have actually won the election.

So because a 3rd party candidate lost by a single percentage point, the GOP is in trouble?

I can't wait to see your face on election night.

[BRADLEY]

You know liberals are scared when the trolls start swarming conservative websites.

The Democrats will lose at least 30 seats in the House in the next election. That's why they're trying to cram this health bill down as quick as possible. The 20 point landslide in Virginia, and solid victory in New Jersey shows the country is rejecting the Democrat's agenda, even in states that went for Obama.

I hope all of these members of Congress that walked the plank for Pelosi and Obama know their sacrifice was for nothing. The health care bill will die in the Senate.

[Thane Eichenauer]

There are two futures that I don't look forward to come the day after election day November 2010.

1) Democrats retain their majorities, Obama continues in office, more government programs are proposed and adopted. The wasteful occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan continue.

2) Republicans regain decisive majorities, Obama is impeached and removed from office. More government programs are proposed and adopted. The wasteful occupations of Iraq and Afghanistan continue.

Why should anybody prefer future 2 over future 1? In all the important details, there is absolutely no difference save for the name printed on the news articles and the picture of the President changes.

Not a dime's worth of difference.

http://www.google.com/search?q=+Not+a+Dime’s+Worth+of+Difference++by+Laurence+M.+Vance

[Steve F.]

"I hope all of these members of Congress that walked the plank for Pelosi and Obama know their sacrifice was for nothing. The health care bill will die in the Senate."

And that's the sad truth. There are moderates out there that are solid on health care reform, but at the same time, they also see the money grab and the lack of cost containment exhibited in the current bill.

If this administration simply took baby steps on reform (a bill for tort reform, another allowing insurance competition across state lines, etc), they wouldn't be facing this crisis now, yet they would still be "doing something" for health care.

Instead they had to push this enormous boondoggle so that Obama and Pelosi's egos will be satisfied.

And Pelosi..."we had a very good night Tuesday"...all that botox and plastic surgury must have rotted her brain. If the democrats manage to maintain a slim majority in the house after 2010, they'd better replace her as Speaker.

I think Reid is smarter than that, but he's committed himself to following two idiots right over a cliff. If he loses, it'll be directly because of Pelosi and Obama.

[Pelosi Death Panel Fan]

Following two idiots right over a cliff. Gosh, I spent nearly eight years telling conservatives they were doing exactly that. And look at where they wound up. The White House, 15 Senate seats, 50 House seats later, I wonder if even one of them bothered to listen to me. Over a cliff indeed they went. My only question is whether they've hit the bottom of the cliff yet or if they're still on their way down.

[Gazzer]

Enough with the CD23 has been Republican for over 100 years. It was held by a Dem from 1979-1993.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York's_23rd_congressional_district
Good grief.

[Steve F.]

"2) Republicans regain decisive majorities, Obama is impeached and removed from office."

If Republicans regain majorities, Obama WILL NOT be impeached.

Any more than Bush was impeached when Dems regained Congress in 2006. They threatened it, but obviously never went through with it...

Probably because the cooler heads realized that they would get President Cheney.

Impeaching Obama would get us President Biden. Yeah. Ain't. Gonna. Happen.

[ron]

I think all incumbents of both stripes are in jeopardy. There is large 'throw all the bums out' movement out there.

[Nick]

Since congress has more Democrats we will
see more Democrats EXPUNGED!

The Gallop Poll just released states that
independents favor Republicans 52% to 30%.

[ron]

Nick,

Some of the anti-incumbency will happen in the primaries which may not mean that the districts change from D to R

[johnny]

Rack banter,

The problem with statements on mitchell 2 major things are things you didn't take into account.

1. CD-5 used to be an overwhelmingy conserative district. In 2006 it had a plus 13 voter registrastion advantage for the gop it is now only 5... In areas like LD17 where they used to elect laura knaperick they now elect nuts like ablesar and schapira. Also with the major poprulation boom in north scottsdale and cave creek you have a lot of socially liberal fiscally conservatve soccer moms, the exact people mitchell does a great job at playing too.

2. David schweikert... This guy has the most money and is the likely winner of the primary. This mans campaign in 08 was a joke. No ground game horrible ads and not a good speaker.

As long as these are the case mitchell will have a fight but he holds that seat.

[linder]

johnny...
I live in North Scottsdale, have for 15 years, and most everyone I talk to are upset with the lack of representation they are getting from Harry Mitchell. They were upset in August when he couldn't even meet with his constituents, and did that ridiculos call in "town hall". It showed them he didn't care.

As far as you saying the soccer moms are socially liberal fiscally conservative, I would instead drop the socially liberal part of the description, as I just don't see that.

[johnny]

Linder,

As some who has lived in north scottsdale and by north I mean just north of scottsdale and pinnacle peak since 1998 I couldn't disagree more. Maybe that's how you and your buddies feel. And I am going to bet you and your buddies voted for schweikert in 08 when he lost by 10 points so your voting for him again sint making up those 10 points. The facts are this district that was one a plus 13 is now a plus 5 for the gop. That's a big change. The changes in south scottsdale and very northen tempe are real just look at who the local reps are (not laura kanperick anymore).

You didn't refute a single thing in my comment just spewed some rhetoric. I know you and your friends are upset I am not a harry fan either but I want someone better than schweikert to get behind he is never beating harry.

[DSW]

johnny,

Watching you circulate and leave comments on some of the other blogs, I’m getting the impression that you’re working for another Republican primary candidate other than David Schweikert. If you are, why not just say so? I’ve been clear that I wholeheartedly support David Sschweikert but will be glad to post anything by any of the other candidates (fair and balanced). My point is why not say, “I support ______ _______ and here’s why” instead of taking shots at a 2008 campaign that took place under completely different conditions than what what will take place in 2010?