At this point in the Clinton Administration, I was sure that Bill could never be re-elected. The health care debacle, loss of the House and Senate, Genrich Revolution etc. made it clear that Clinton was just another Jimmy Carter. But then he triangulated, drove a wedge between the Republicans, moved to the center, reformed welfare, bit his lip and voila...re-elected.
I had assumed that President Obama would follow the same playbook. but it's clear that tacking to the center is so fundamentally against his nature that he's incapable of executing the maneuver that saved Clinton.