Here's the opening paragraph of a recent article by the Republic's Dan Nowkicki.
With hope for immigration reform all but dead in the House of Representatives, immigration activists vowed Tuesday to move the fight from Capitol Hill to congressional races nationwide and press President Barack Obama to unilaterally curb deportations.
The sub head of the article was: GOP targeted as reform hopes dim
The person who wrote the sub head assumed that these protests would only affect Republicans. Pundits also assume that fallout from the lack of immigration reform will also only affect Republicans. However the anger of Hispanic activists isn't just directed at Republicans. Here's another example.
A small, but noisy band of protesters shadowed Napolitano during her day of meetings on campus.
So Hispanic activist protest isn't confined to Republicans. Let's think about the political ramifications....what happens if Hispanics turn on Republicans in key races? Not much. After all, Hispanic voters don't make up a big percentage of Republican districts. And, as the media continues to tell us....Hispanic voters don't vote for Republicans anyway.
So what happens when a group that is a small percentage of your district and doesn't vote for you anyway decides that they are REALLY not going to vote for you this time. The answer, of course, is... nothing happens.
But what happens if the Hispanic community gets fed up with President Obama's deportation policies? What if the anger that we've seen displayed against Janet Napolitano spills over into swing Congressional races? What happens when a population that makes up a significant percentage of your district and which has traditionally voted for you en masse turns against you, or even just decides to sit on their hands? The answer is that you lose.
Swing district Republicans aren't vulnerable to Hispanic Activist Anger--but swing district Democrats will get crushed if their base gets fed up and stays home.